San Marino
Finland0-7
FT
San Marino vs Finland Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 26 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More San Marino vs Finland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Finland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| X2Finland or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH1 +1.5San Marino +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XSan Marino or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Finland to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Finland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.36 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 1San Marino to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5San Marino -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.02 | - |
San Marino vs Finland preview & analysis
Match preview
San Marino host Finland in the Nations League (League C - 1) at San Marino Stadium on Saturday, 26 September 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
San Marino arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Azerbaijan 1-2 away. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 4 games. Finland arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Hungary 1-2 away. They're 3rd in the table with 7 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, San Marino have won 0, Finland have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Finland narrow favourites: San Marino 17%, draw 41%, Finland 42%. We expect around 2.6 goals (0.9 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Recent form
- 9 JunAAzerbaijan1-2
- 5 JunHBangladesh1-2
- 5 JunAHungary1-2
- 31 MayAGermany0-4
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
San Marino vs Finland: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win San Marino vs Finland?
+
Finland are favourites. Our model gives San Marino a 17% chance of winning, Finland 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in San Marino vs Finland?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does San Marino vs Finland kick off?
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San Marino vs Finland kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 26 September 2026 at San Marino Stadium, Serravalle.