Nations League· League C - 1· Laugardalsvöllur
Iceland
Estonia1-1
FT
Iceland vs Estonia Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 26 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Iceland vs Estonia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Iceland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Estonia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XIceland or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Estonia or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Iceland to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Estonia to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Iceland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Estonia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.92 | - |
Iceland vs Estonia preview & analysis
Match preview
Iceland host Estonia in the Nations League (League C - 1) at Laugardalsvöllur on Saturday, 26 September 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Iceland arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Argentina 0-3 away. They're 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games. Estonia arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Lithuania 1-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 6 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Iceland have won 0, Estonia have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Iceland narrow favourites: Iceland 37%, draw 31%, Estonia 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Iceland- 10 JunAArgentina0-3
- 31 MayAJapan0-1
Estonia- 9 JunHLithuania1-0
- 6 JunHFaroe Islands1-0
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Iceland vs Estonia: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Iceland vs Estonia?
+
Iceland are favourites. Our model gives Iceland a 37% chance of winning, Estonia 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Iceland vs Estonia?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Iceland vs Estonia kick off?
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Iceland vs Estonia kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 26 September 2026 at Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavik.
