Nations League· League C - 1· Stadion Hristo Botev (Gabrovo)
Bulgaria
Luxembourg1-2
FT
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 26 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bulgaria vs Luxembourg tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Bulgaria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XBulgaria or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Luxembourg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| X2Luxembourg or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Bulgaria to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bulgaria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.84 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Luxembourg to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Luxembourg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.15 | - |
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg preview & analysis
Match preview
Bulgaria host Luxembourg in the Nations League (League C - 1) at Stadion Hristo Botev (Gabrovo) on Saturday, 26 September 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bulgaria arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Moldova 2-2 away. They're 3rd in the table with 4 points from 4 games. Luxembourg arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Albania 1-0 away. They're 4th in the table with 3 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Bulgaria have won 2, Luxembourg have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bulgaria favourites: Bulgaria 47%, draw 41%, Luxembourg 12%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Bulgaria- 5 JunAMoldova2-2
- 1 JunHMontenegro0-1
Luxembourg- 6 JunAAlbania1-0
- 3 JunHItaly0-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?
+
Bulgaria are favourites. Our model gives Bulgaria a 47% chance of winning, Luxembourg 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?
+
We rate both teams to score at 46%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Bulgaria vs Luxembourg kick off?
+
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 26 September 2026 at Stadion Hristo Botev (Gabrovo), Gabrovo.
