MLS· Regular Season - 30· Avaya Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes
Nashville SC18 Oct
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.62
Expected goals
1.2 - 2.0
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Expert analysis
Nashville's Form and Momentum Signal Over 2.5 Goals
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & South America ·
Nashville has won 4 of their last 5 games with 15 goals scored and over 2.5 in 4 matches. San Jose is unbeaten but has seen only 2 overs in their last 5. The 63 percent model probability makes Over 2.5 the most likely outcome.
Form & Context
Nashville brings attacking momentum and intense pressing.
- 4 wins in last 5 games with 15 goals scored.
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5.
- San Jose unbeaten in 5 but only 2 overs.
- Nashville chases Supporters' Shield while San Jose fights for playoffs.
Team News
Injuries tilt chances toward open play for Nashville.
- San Jose missing seven key players: Adimabua, Gonzalez, Johnson, Jones, Kikanovic, Skahan and Tsakiris.
- Nashville has Presthus out and Camara questionable.
- No suspensions reported.
- Lineups provisional with match only 2 days away.
Key Matchup
Nashville's key duels and forward line create strong pressure.
- Nashville aims to seal Supporters' Shield.
- San Jose has home edge at Avaya Stadium but squad depleted.
- Recent Nashville wins show high scoring intent.
- H2H often draws but current form points to goals.
The Numbers
Expected goals and model back high scoring.
- Over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.
- Expected goals 1.25 home, 1.97 away.
- Most likely score 1-2.
- BTTS probability 65%.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Nashville's 15 goals and 4 overs in last 5
- 2Model probability of 63% for over 2.5
- 3Nashville's strong attacking shape and momentum
Verdict
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals as the most likely outcome. The main risk is San Jose's defensive shape at home keeping the score tight.
Sources
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Nashville SC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Nashville SC or Draw | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| AH1 +1.5San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | 1.44 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| 1XSan Jose Earthquakes or Draw | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| 2Nashville SC to win | 48% | 2.07 | 1.85 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.75 | 2.60 |
| AH2 -1.5Nashville SC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.93 | - |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.63 | 3.60 |
| 1San Jose Earthquakes to win | 24% | 4.15 | 3.40 |
| AH1 -1.5San Jose Earthquakes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.93 | - |
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.85 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.60 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.91 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 3.48 | 3.78 | 1.91 | 1.45 | 2.41 | 1.44 | 2.53 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.93 | 1.49 | 2.38 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.65 | 3.85 | 1.93 | 1.53 | 2.55 | - | - |
Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes- 15 OctAReal Salt Lake1-1
- 11 OctAColorado Rapids1-1
- 27 SeptHPortland Timbers3-1
- 20 SeptHLos Angeles FC2-2
- 13 SeptHHouston Dynamo1-0
Nashville SC- 15 OctHSporting Kansas City4-0
- 11 OctAAustin4-1
- 27 SeptHToronto FC2-0
- 20 SeptHChicago Fire3-0
- 13 SeptAInter Miami2-2
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +31 | 52 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +8 | 50 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 46 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 45 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 |  Austin | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 22 |
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: FAQ
What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Nashville SC.
Who is the favourite to win San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
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Nashville SC are favourites. Our model gives San Jose Earthquakes a 24% chance of winning, Nashville SC 48%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC kick off?
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San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC kicks off at 02:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Avaya Stadium, San Jose.
