MLS· Regular Season - 30· Sports Illustrated Stadium
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC18 Oct
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.52
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
More New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5New York Red Bulls +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| 1XNew York Red Bulls or Draw | 73% | 1.37 | 1.36 |
| AH2 +1.5Toronto FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 67% | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| X2Toronto FC or Draw | 54% | 1.84 | 1.70 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 1New York Red Bulls to win | 46% | 2.19 | 2.08 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 33% | 3.03 | 2.80 |
| AH1 -1.5New York Red Bulls -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.15 | - |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.66 | 4.00 |
| 2Toronto FC to win | 27% | 3.71 | 3.20 |
| AH2 -1.5Toronto FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.38 | - |
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 | - | - | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.08 | 4.00 | 3.20 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.84 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 2.84 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 | - | - | - | - |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 3.95 | 3.26 | 1.44 | 2.79 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.97 | 3.50 | 2.81 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.85 | 3.30 | 1.47 | 2.80 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC preview & analysis
Match preview
New York Red Bulls host Toronto FC in the MLS (Regular Season - 30) at Sports Illustrated Stadium on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
New York Red Bulls arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to DC United 1-2 away. They're 8th in the table with 36 points from 29 games. Toronto FC are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Most recently they drew with Orlando City SC 3-3 at home. They're 11th in the table with 33 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, New York Red Bulls have won 3, Toronto FC have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes New York Red Bulls favourites: New York Red Bulls 46%, draw 27%, Toronto FC 27%. We expect around 3.4 goals (2.0 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 67% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 66% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is New York Red Bulls 2-1 Toronto FC.
Recent form
New York Red Bulls- 15 OctADC United1-2
- 11 OctHSan Diego4-1
- 1 OctHSt. Louis City0-3
- 19 SeptANew York City FC1-0
- 13 SeptAColumbus Crew1-0
Toronto FC- 15 OctHOrlando City SC3-3
- 10 OctHCF Montreal2-1
- 27 SeptANashville SC0-2
- 20 SeptASt. Louis City1-3
- 13 SeptAOrlando City SC0-3
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | +41 | 66 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +20 | 52 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | +7 | 49 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 38 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 |  DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 24 |
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC: FAQ
What is the New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 2-1 Toronto FC.
Who is the favourite to win New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
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New York Red Bulls are favourites. Our model gives New York Red Bulls a 46% chance of winning, Toronto FC 27%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 67%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC kick off?
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New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison.
