Nations League· League B - 4· Arena Națională
Romania
Sweden0-1
FT
Romania vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 5 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Romania vs Sweden tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sweden +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Sweden or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Romania +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| 1XRomania or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Sweden to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sweden -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.51 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Romania to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Romania -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.84 | - |
Romania vs Sweden preview & analysis
Match preview
Romania host Sweden in the Nations League (League B - 4) at Arena Națională on Monday, 5 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Romania are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Most recently they lost to Poland 0-6 away. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 4 games. Sweden arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 away. They're 1st in the table with 10 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Romania have won 1, Sweden have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sweden narrow favourites: Romania 17%, draw 41%, Sweden 42%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.4 - 2.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Romania- 2 OctAPoland0-6
- 28 SeptHBosnia & Herzegovina2-4
- 25 SeptASweden1-2
- 6 JunHWales2-1
- 2 JunAGeorgia1-1
Sweden- 2 OctABosnia & Herzegovina1-1
- 28 SeptHPoland3-1
- 25 SeptHRomania2-1
- 30 JunAFrance0-3
- 26 JunAJapan1-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Romania vs Sweden: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Romania vs Sweden?
+
Sweden are favourites. Our model gives Romania a 17% chance of winning, Sweden 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Romania vs Sweden?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Romania vs Sweden kick off?
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Romania vs Sweden kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Monday, 5 October 2026 at Arena Națională, Bucharest.
