Nations League· League B - 5
Romania
Poland14 Nov
Romania vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 14 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.49
Expected goals
1.4 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Romania vs Poland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Poland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Poland or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Romania +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| 1XRomania or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| 2Poland to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Poland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| 1Romania to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Romania -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.61 | - |
Romania vs Poland preview & analysis
Match preview
Romania host Poland in the Nations League (League B - 5) on Saturday, 14 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Romania are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 14. Most recently they lost to Sweden 0-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 4 games. Poland arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Bosnia & Herzegovina 0-1 away. They're 3rd in the table with 4 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Romania have won 0, Poland have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Poland narrow favourites: Romania 23%, draw 38%, Poland 39%. We expect around 3.4 goals (1.4 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 67% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 67% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Romania 1-2 Poland.
Recent form
Romania- 5 OctHSweden0-1
- 2 OctAPoland0-6
- 28 SeptHBosnia & Herzegovina2-4
- 25 SeptASweden1-2
- 6 JunHWales2-1
Poland- 5 OctABosnia & Herzegovina0-1
- 2 OctHRomania6-0
- 28 SeptASweden1-3
- 25 SeptHBosnia & Herzegovina0-0
- 3 JunHNigeria2-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Romania vs Poland: FAQ
What is the Romania vs Poland prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Romania 1-2 Poland.
Who is the favourite to win Romania vs Poland?
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Poland are favourites. Our model gives Romania a 23% chance of winning, Poland 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Romania vs Poland?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Romania vs Poland kick off?
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Romania vs Poland kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Saturday, 14 November 2026.
