Europa League· League Stage - 4· Anoeta
Real Sociedad
Lyon5 Nov
Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.9
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Real Sociedad vs Lyon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Lyon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Lyon or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Real Sociedad +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.59 | - |
| 1XReal Sociedad or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| 2Lyon to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.68 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lyon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.41 | - |
| 1Real Sociedad to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Real Sociedad -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.87 | - |
Real Sociedad vs Lyon preview & analysis
Match preview
Real Sociedad host Lyon in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at Anoeta on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Real Sociedad arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Union St. Gilloise 1-1 away. They're 22nd in the table with 1 point from 2 games. Lyon arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Crystal Palace 3-2 at home. They're 8th in the table with 6 points from 2 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Real Sociedad have won 2, Lyon have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lyon narrow favourites: Real Sociedad 23%, draw 38%, Lyon 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 63% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 63% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 1-2 Lyon.
Recent form
Real Sociedad- 15 OctAUnion St. Gilloise1-1
- 11 OctHDeportivo La Coruna3-2
- 2 OctHAthletic Club0-1
- 20 SeptAValencia3-2
- 17 SeptHBournemouth1-2
Lyon- 15 OctHCrystal Palace3-2
- 9 OctALens1-2
- 19 SeptHRennes4-0
- 16 SeptAAnderlecht2-1
- 12 SeptAParis FC0-0
Head to head
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Omonia Nicosia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 20 |  AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 |  Lillestrom | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 |  Levski Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
Real Sociedad vs Lyon: FAQ
What is the Real Sociedad vs Lyon prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Real Sociedad 1-2 Lyon.
Who is the favourite to win Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
+
Lyon are favourites. Our model gives Real Sociedad a 23% chance of winning, Lyon 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
+
We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Real Sociedad vs Lyon kick off?
+
Real Sociedad vs Lyon kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at Anoeta, San Sebastian.
