Champions League· League Stage - 3
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig21 Oct
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.4 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Real Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XReal Madrid or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| AH2 +1.5RB Leipzig +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2RB Leipzig or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Real Madrid to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2RB Leipzig to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5RB Leipzig -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.74 | - |
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig preview & analysis
Match preview
Real Madrid host RB Leipzig in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Real Madrid arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat AS Roma 4-3 away. They're 8th in the table with 6 points from 2 games. RB Leipzig arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 at home. They're 21st in the table with 3 points from 2 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Real Madrid have won 2, RB Leipzig have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Real Madrid narrow favourites: Real Madrid 44%, draw 38%, RB Leipzig 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Real Madrid 2-1 RB Leipzig.
Recent form
Real Madrid- 14 OctAAS Roma4-3
- 10 OctHVillarreal1-0
- 20 SeptAAtletico Madrid1-2
- 15 SeptAElche3-2
- 12 SeptHRayo Vallecano4-1
RB Leipzig- 13 OctHPSV Eindhoven1-0
- 10 OctHEintracht Frankfurt6-0
- 20 SeptABayer Leverkusen0-2
- 13 SeptHHamburger SV5-0
- 10 SeptAComo1-4
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 19 |  Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 22 |  Sabah FA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: FAQ
What is the Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Real Madrid 2-1 RB Leipzig.
Who is the favourite to win Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
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Real Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Real Madrid a 44% chance of winning, RB Leipzig 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig kick off?
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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026.
