Champions League· League Stage - 5
Real Madrid
PSV Eindhoven24 Nov
Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 24 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
2.1 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Real Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XReal Madrid or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5PSV Eindhoven +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| X2PSV Eindhoven or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Real Madrid to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.82 | - |
| 2PSV Eindhoven to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5PSV Eindhoven -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.42 | - |
Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven preview & analysis
Match preview
Real Madrid host PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League (League Stage - 5) on Tuesday, 24 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Real Madrid arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat AS Roma 4-3 away. They're 8th in the table with 6 points from 2 games. PSV Eindhoven arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to RB Leipzig 0-1 away. They're 26th in the table with 1 point from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Real Madrid narrow favourites: Real Madrid 44%, draw 38%, PSV Eindhoven 18%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 63% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 63% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Real Madrid 2-1 PSV Eindhoven.
Recent form
Real Madrid- 14 OctAAS Roma4-3
- 10 OctHVillarreal1-0
- 20 SeptAAtletico Madrid1-2
- 15 SeptAElche3-2
- 12 SeptHRayo Vallecano4-1
PSV Eindhoven- 13 OctARB Leipzig0-1
- 9 OctHHeerenveen2-0
- 20 SeptATwente2-3
- 13 SeptHSparta Rotterdam4-1
- 10 SeptHShakhtar Donetsk1-1
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 24 |  Bodo/Glimt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 25 |  AS Roma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 |  Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 |  Fenerbahçe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 1 |
Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven: FAQ
What is the Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Real Madrid 2-1 PSV Eindhoven.
Who is the favourite to win Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?
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Real Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Real Madrid a 44% chance of winning, PSV Eindhoven 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven kick off?
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Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Tuesday, 24 November 2026.
