Champions League· League Stage - 5· Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
Borussia Dortmund24 Nov
Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 24 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Arsenal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XArsenal or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Borussia Dortmund +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Borussia Dortmund or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Arsenal to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Arsenal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Borussia Dortmund to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Borussia Dortmund -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund preview & analysis
Match preview
Arsenal host Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League (League Stage - 5) at Emirates Stadium on Tuesday, 24 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Arsenal arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Lille 3-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 6 points from 2 games. Borussia Dortmund arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Bodo/Glimt 0-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 3 points from 2 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Arsenal have won 3, Borussia Dortmund have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Arsenal narrow favourites: Arsenal 44%, draw 38%, Borussia Dortmund 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Arsenal 2-1 Borussia Dortmund.
Recent form
Arsenal- 13 OctHLille3-0
- 10 OctHLeeds2-1
- 19 SeptABrighton0-3
- 15 SeptAIpswich4-2
- 12 SeptASunderland2-0
Borussia Dortmund- 14 OctABodo/Glimt0-1
- 9 OctHWerder Bremen2-2
- 19 SeptAVfB Stuttgart1-0
- 12 SeptHSC Paderborn 073-0
- 8 SeptHVillarreal3-2
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Club Brugge KV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 |  Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 |  Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund: FAQ
What is the Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Arsenal 2-1 Borussia Dortmund.
Who is the favourite to win Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
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Arsenal are favourites. Our model gives Arsenal a 44% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
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Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Tuesday, 24 November 2026 at Emirates Stadium, London.
