La Liga· Regular Season - 13
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo22 Nov
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 22 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.5 - 0.9
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Real Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XReal Madrid or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Celta Vigo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| X2Celta Vigo or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| 1Real Madrid to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| 2Celta Vigo to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Celta Vigo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.62 | - |
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo preview & analysis
Match preview
Real Madrid host Celta Vigo in the La Liga (Regular Season - 13) on Sunday, 22 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Real Madrid arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat AS Roma 4-3 away. They're 4th in the table with 18 points from 8 games. Celta Vigo arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Juventus 1-2 at home. They're 9th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Real Madrid have won 5, Celta Vigo have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Real Madrid narrow favourites: Real Madrid 44%, draw 38%, Celta Vigo 18%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.5 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Real Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo.
Recent form
Real Madrid- 14 OctAAS Roma4-3
- 10 OctHVillarreal1-0
- 20 SeptAAtletico Madrid1-2
- 15 SeptAElche3-2
- 12 SeptHRayo Vallecano4-1
Celta Vigo- 15 OctHJuventus1-2
- 11 OctAElche0-0
- 19 SeptHRacing Santander5-0
- 16 SeptAOmonia Nicosia0-1
- 13 SeptHMalaga1-1
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: FAQ
What is the Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Real Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo.
Who is the favourite to win Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
+
Real Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Real Madrid a 44% chance of winning, Celta Vigo 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
+
We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo kick off?
+
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 22 November 2026.
