Serie A· Regular Season - 12
AC Milan
Frosinone22 Nov
AC Milan vs Frosinone Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 22 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AC Milan vs Frosinone tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAC Milan or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Frosinone +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Frosinone or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1AC Milan to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Frosinone to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Frosinone -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
AC Milan vs Frosinone preview & analysis
Match preview
AC Milan host Frosinone in the Serie A (Regular Season - 12) on Sunday, 22 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 away. They're 5th in the table with 12 points from 6 games. Frosinone arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Napoli 0-3 away. They're 9th in the table with 10 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, AC Milan have won 4, Frosinone have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AC Milan narrow favourites: AC Milan 44%, draw 38%, Frosinone 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is AC Milan 1-0 Frosinone.
Recent form
AC Milan- 15 OctARed Bull Salzburg4-0
- 11 OctASassuolo1-1
- 20 SeptHLecce3-0
- 16 SeptHBenfica0-2
- 12 SeptALazio2-2
Frosinone- 10 OctANapoli0-3
- 2 OctHBenevento2-1
- 20 SeptHComo2-0
- 12 SeptAGenoa1-1
- 6 SeptHVenezia3-2
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
AC Milan vs Frosinone: FAQ
What is the AC Milan vs Frosinone prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is AC Milan 1-0 Frosinone.
Who is the favourite to win AC Milan vs Frosinone?
+
AC Milan are favourites. Our model gives AC Milan a 44% chance of winning, Frosinone 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Frosinone?
+
We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does AC Milan vs Frosinone kick off?
+
AC Milan vs Frosinone kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 22 November 2026.
