La Liga· Regular Season - 13· Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Malaga22 Nov
Osasuna vs Malaga Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 22 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Osasuna vs Malaga tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Osasuna +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XOsasuna or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Malaga +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Malaga or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Osasuna to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Osasuna -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Malaga to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Malaga -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Osasuna vs Malaga preview & analysis
Match preview
Osasuna host Malaga in the La Liga (Regular Season - 13) at Estadio El Sadar on Sunday, 22 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Osasuna are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 17. Most recently they lost to Real Betis 2-5 away. They're 16th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Malaga arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Espanyol 1-1 at home. They're 20th in the table with 4 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Osasuna have won 3, Malaga have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Osasuna narrow favourites: Osasuna 44%, draw 38%, Malaga 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Osasuna 2-1 Malaga.
Recent form
Osasuna- 11 OctAReal Betis2-5
- 19 SeptHRayo Vallecano1-1
- 16 SeptAAtletico Madrid0-4
- 12 SeptHEspanyol0-2
- 6 SeptAAlaves2-5
Malaga- 9 OctHEspanyol1-1
- 20 SeptAGetafe0-1
- 17 SeptHVillarreal1-3
- 13 SeptACelta Vigo1-1
- 6 SeptHLevante0-0
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Osasuna vs Malaga: FAQ
What is the Osasuna vs Malaga prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Osasuna 2-1 Malaga.
Who is the favourite to win Osasuna vs Malaga?
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Osasuna are favourites. Our model gives Osasuna a 44% chance of winning, Malaga 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Malaga?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Osasuna vs Malaga kick off?
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Osasuna vs Malaga kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 22 November 2026 at Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona.
