Champions League· League Stage - 4· Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig
Manchester City4 Nov
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
1.4 - 2.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More RB Leipzig vs Manchester City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Manchester City or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5RB Leipzig +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.50 | - |
| 1XRB Leipzig or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 2Manchester City to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.98 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.23 | - |
| 1RB Leipzig to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5RB Leipzig -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.55 | - |
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City preview & analysis
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Manchester City in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Red Bull Arena on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
RB Leipzig arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 at home. They're 21st in the table with 3 points from 2 games. Manchester City arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 2-4 at home. They're 17th in the table with 3 points from 2 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, RB Leipzig have won 1, Manchester City have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 5.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: RB Leipzig 23%, draw 38%, Manchester City 39%. We expect around 3.5 goals (1.4 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is RB Leipzig 1-2 Manchester City.
Recent form
RB Leipzig- 13 OctHPSV Eindhoven1-0
- 10 OctHEintracht Frankfurt6-0
- 20 SeptABayer Leverkusen0-2
- 13 SeptHHamburger SV5-0
- 10 SeptAComo1-4
Manchester City- 14 OctHParis Saint Germain2-4
- 11 OctALiverpool3-0
- 20 SeptHSunderland5-3
- 17 SeptHNorwich5-0
- 13 SeptAManchester United1-0
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |  Club Brugge KV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 |  Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 22 |  Sabah FA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: FAQ
What is the RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 1-2 Manchester City.
Who is the favourite to win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
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Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives RB Leipzig a 23% chance of winning, Manchester City 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does RB Leipzig vs Manchester City kick off?
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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at Red Bull Arena, Leipzig.
