Liga MX· Apertura - 17· Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla
Atletico San Luis21 Nov
Puebla vs Atletico San Luis Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 21 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
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More Puebla vs Atletico San Luis tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atletico San Luis +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Atletico San Luis or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Puebla +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XPuebla or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Atletico San Luis to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico San Luis -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Puebla to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Puebla -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Puebla vs Atletico San Luis preview & analysis
Match preview
Puebla host Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX (Apertura - 17) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc on Saturday, 21 November 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Puebla arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Leon 1-1 at home. They're 9th in the table with 15 points from 11 games. Atletico San Luis are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Santos Laguna 1-2 at home. They're 15th in the table with 12 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Puebla have won 1, Atletico San Luis have won 5 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico San Luis narrow favourites: Puebla 23%, draw 38%, Atletico San Luis 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Puebla 0-1 Atletico San Luis.
Recent form
Puebla- 10 OctHLeon1-1
- 27 SeptATigres UANL0-1
- 19 SeptHAtlante FC1-1
- 16 SeptHToluca0-1
- 12 SeptANecaxa1-0
Atletico San Luis- 12 OctHSantos Laguna1-2
- 27 SeptAU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-2
- 20 SeptHNecaxa3-1
- 15 SeptALeon0-2
- 6 SeptHGuadalajara Chivas0-3
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Puebla vs Atletico San Luis: FAQ
What is the Puebla vs Atletico San Luis prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Puebla 0-1 Atletico San Luis.
Who is the favourite to win Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?
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Atletico San Luis are favourites. Our model gives Puebla a 23% chance of winning, Atletico San Luis 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Puebla vs Atletico San Luis?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Puebla vs Atletico San Luis kick off?
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Puebla vs Atletico San Luis kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla.
