Poland
Romania6-0
FT
Poland vs Romania Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 2 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Poland vs Romania tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Poland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XPoland or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Romania +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| X2Romania or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Poland to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Poland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.82 | - |
| 2Romania to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Romania -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.42 | - |
Poland vs Romania preview & analysis
Match preview
Poland host Romania in the Nations League (League B - 3) at National Stadium Warsaw on Friday, 2 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Poland arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Sweden 1-3 away. They're 3rd in the table with 4 points from 4 games. Romania arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-4 at home. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Poland have won 2, Romania have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Poland narrow favourites: Poland 44%, draw 38%, Romania 18%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 63% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Recent form
- 28 SeptASweden1-3
- 25 SeptHBosnia & Herzegovina0-0
- 3 JunHNigeria2-2
- 31 MayHUkraine0-2
- 28 SeptHBosnia & Herzegovina2-4
- 25 SeptASweden1-2
- 6 JunHWales2-1
- 2 JunAGeorgia1-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Poland vs Romania: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Poland vs Romania?
+
Poland are favourites. Our model gives Poland a 44% chance of winning, Romania 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Poland vs Romania?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Poland vs Romania kick off?
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Poland vs Romania kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 2 October 2026 at National Stadium Warsaw, Warsaw.