Ligue 1· Regular Season - 8· Parc des Princes
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon25 Oct
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
2.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
More Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Paris Saint Germain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 97% | 1.03 | - |
| 1XParis Saint Germain or Draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.35 |
| 1Paris Saint Germain to win | 63% | 1.59 | 1.43 |
| AH1 -1.5Paris Saint Germain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 55% | 1.81 | 2.03 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | 1.93 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | 2.01 |
| AH2 +1.5Lyon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 45% | 2.24 | 1.92 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.52 | 2.38 |
| X2Lyon or Draw | 37% | 2.70 | 3.07 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.26 | 2.88 |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.83 | 5.44 |
| 2Lyon to win | 16% | 6.15 | 6.60 |
| AH2 -1.5Lyon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 3% | 35.40 | - |
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.80 | 6.50 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 5.44 | 7.60 | 1.35 | 2.88 | 1.56 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 5.40 | 6.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.36 | 3.20 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 5.30 | 7.40 | 1.35 | 2.88 | 1.56 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.30 | 3.20 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.44 | 6.55 | 1.36 | 3.15 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.40 | 5.10 | 7.00 | 1.39 | 3.05 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon preview & analysis
Match preview
Paris Saint Germain host Lyon in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) at Parc des Princes on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Paris Saint Germain arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Manchester City 4-2 away. They're 6th in the table with 11 points from 6 games. Lyon arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Crystal Palace 3-2 at home. They're 4th in the table with 11 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Paris Saint Germain have won 5, Lyon have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.2 goals, and both teams scored in 6 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain clear favourites: Paris Saint Germain 63%, draw 21%, Lyon 16%. We expect around 3.6 goals (2.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 69% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.57, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Lyon.
Recent form
Paris Saint Germain- 14 OctAManchester City4-2
- 10 OctHLe Mans3-1
- 20 SeptAMarseille2-1
- 13 SeptAStade Brestois 291-0
- 9 SeptHSlovan Bratislava6-1
Lyon- 15 OctHCrystal Palace3-2
- 9 OctALens1-2
- 19 SeptHRennes4-0
- 16 SeptAAnderlecht2-1
- 12 SeptAParis FC0-0
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon: FAQ
What is the Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.57. Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Lyon.
Who is the favourite to win Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
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Paris Saint Germain are favourites. Our model gives Paris Saint Germain a 63% chance of winning, Lyon 16%, and the draw 21%.
Will both teams score in Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon kick off?
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Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Parc des Princes, Paris.
