Ligue 1· Regular Season - 8· Stade Louis II
Monaco
Lille25 Oct
Monaco vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Lille or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
More Monaco vs Lille tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Monaco +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.16 | 1.06 |
| AH2 +1.5Lille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| 1XMonaco or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | 1.34 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | 1.43 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.77 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | 2.22 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.43 | 2.30 |
| 1Monaco to win | 40% | 2.52 | 2.18 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.84 | 2.58 |
| 2Lille to win | 30% | 3.28 | 3.60 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.35 | 3.60 |
| AH1 -1.5Monaco -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.43 | 3.50 |
| AH2 -1.5Lille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 7.39 | 6.60 |
Monaco vs Lille odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.30 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.77 | 2.22 | 1.57 | 2.28 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.60 | 3.40 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.72 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.26 | 3.64 | 1.70 | 2.17 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.35 | 1.75 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.27 |
Monaco vs Lille preview & analysis
Match preview
Monaco host Lille in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) at Stade Louis II on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Monaco arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat CSKA Sofia 2-1 away. They're 1st in the table with 14 points from 6 games. Lille arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Arsenal 0-3 away. They're 2nd in the table with 13 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Monaco have won 1, Lille have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Monaco narrow favourites: Monaco 40%, draw 30%, Lille 30%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.6 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 56% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Lille should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Lille or Draw at 1.76, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Monaco 2-1 Lille.
Recent form
Monaco- 15 OctACSKA Sofia2-1
- 10 OctHToulouse2-2
- 3 OctHPisa2-0
- 18 SeptHLens2-1
- 12 SeptAStrasbourg1-1
Lille- 13 OctAArsenal0-3
- 10 OctHLe Havre1-0
- 2 OctHZulte Waregem2-1
- 20 SeptANice1-2
- 13 SeptHEstac Troyes2-0
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Monaco vs Lille: FAQ
What is the Monaco vs Lille prediction?
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Our tip is Lille or Draw at odds of 1.76. Our predicted score is Monaco 2-1 Lille.
Who is the favourite to win Monaco vs Lille?
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Monaco are favourites. Our model gives Monaco a 40% chance of winning, Lille 30%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Monaco vs Lille?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Monaco vs Lille kick off?
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Monaco vs Lille kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Stade Louis II, Monaco.
