Ligue 1· Regular Season - 8· Orange Vélodrome
Marseille
Le Havre25 Oct
Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
2.2 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
More Marseille vs Le Havre tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 96% | 1.04 | 1.02 |
| 1XMarseille or Draw | 82% | 1.21 | 1.19 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | 1.47 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| 1Marseille to win | 57% | 1.76 | 1.64 |
| AH2 +1.5Le Havre +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 56% | 1.79 | 1.56 |
| AH1 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 44% | 2.27 | 2.68 |
| X2Le Havre or Draw | 43% | 2.32 | 2.40 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.37 | 2.20 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | 2.42 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | 2.46 |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.91 | 4.57 |
| 2Le Havre to win | 18% | 5.68 | 5.33 |
| AH2 -1.5Le Havre -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 4% | 23.70 | 10.00 |
Marseille vs Le Havre odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.80 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.57 | 5.33 | 1.66 | 2.42 | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.25 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 4.45 | 5.20 | 1.61 | 2.35 | 1.63 | 2.14 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.59 | 4.79 | 1.59 | 2.37 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.35 | 4.90 | 1.62 | 2.37 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Marseille vs Le Havre preview & analysis
Match preview
Marseille host Le Havre in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) at Orange Vélodrome on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Marseille are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 at home. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games. Le Havre are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Lille 0-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 2 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Marseille have won 6, Le Havre have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Marseille favourites: Marseille 57%, draw 26%, Le Havre 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.2 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.66, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Marseille 2-0 Le Havre.
Recent form
Marseille- 15 OctHOlympiakos Piraeus0-1
- 11 OctAEstac Troyes2-0
- 20 SeptHParis Saint Germain1-2
- 17 SeptABeşiktaş1-4
- 11 SeptARennes0-1
Le Havre- 10 OctALille0-1
- 2 OctHBoulogne6-1
- 19 SeptAToulouse2-3
- 12 SeptHAngers0-0
- 5 SeptHStade Brestois 291-2
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Marseille vs Le Havre: FAQ
What is the Marseille vs Le Havre prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.66. Our predicted score is Marseille 2-0 Le Havre.
Who is the favourite to win Marseille vs Le Havre?
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Marseille are favourites. Our model gives Marseille a 57% chance of winning, Le Havre 18%, and the draw 26%.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Le Havre?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Marseille vs Le Havre kick off?
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Marseille vs Le Havre kicks off at 16:15 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.
