Ligue 1· Regular Season - 34· Stade Jean Bouin
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain2-1
FT
Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 17 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Paris Saint Germain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Paris Saint Germain or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Paris FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XParis FC or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Paris Saint Germain to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Paris Saint Germain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Paris FC to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Paris FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain preview & analysis
Match preview
Paris FC host Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 34) at Stade Jean Bouin on Sunday, 17 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Paris FC have won 1, Paris Saint Germain have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain narrow favourites: Paris FC 23%, draw 38%, Paris Saint Germain 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 | 76 |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 | 70 |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 | 61 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 60 |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 | 59 |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 59 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +11 | 53 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 44 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -19 | 36 |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 | 35 |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 | 32 |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 | 23 |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 | 17 |
Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
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Paris Saint Germain are favourites. Our model gives Paris FC a 23% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain kick off?
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Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at Stade Jean Bouin, Paris.
