Ligue 1· Regular Season - 34· Orange Vélodrome
Marseille
Rennes3-1
FT
Marseille vs Rennes Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 17 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Marseille vs Rennes tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XMarseille or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Rennes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Rennes or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Marseille to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Rennes to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Rennes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Marseille vs Rennes preview & analysis
Match preview
Marseille host Rennes in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 34) at Orange Vélodrome on Sunday, 17 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Marseille have won 3, Rennes have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Marseille narrow favourites: Marseille 44%, draw 38%, Rennes 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 | 76 |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 | 70 |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 | 61 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 59 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +11 | 53 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 44 |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -19 | 36 |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 | 35 |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 | 32 |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 | 23 |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 | 17 |
Marseille vs Rennes: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Marseille vs Rennes?
+
Marseille are favourites. Our model gives Marseille a 44% chance of winning, Rennes 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Rennes?
+
We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Marseille vs Rennes kick off?
+
Marseille vs Rennes kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.
