Serie A· Regular Season - 37· Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa
AC Milan1-2
FT
Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 17 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Genoa vs AC Milan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Genoa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 | - |
| AH2 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XGenoa or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2AC Milan or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1Genoa to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 37% | 2.68 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2AC Milan to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Genoa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.70 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 7.98 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.82 | - |
Genoa vs AC Milan preview & analysis
Match preview
Genoa host AC Milan in the Serie A (Regular Season - 37) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Sunday, 17 May 2026, with kick-off at 10:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Genoa have won 0, AC Milan have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Genoa narrow favourites: Genoa 38%, draw 32%, AC Milan 30%. We expect around 1.9 goals (1.0 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 30% for over 2.5 and 37% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | 87 |
| 2 |  Napoli | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 76 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 | 73 |
| 4 |  Como | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +36 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | +18 | 70 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +27 | 69 |
| 7 |  Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 | 59 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 | 56 |
| 9 |  Lazio | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 | 54 |
| 10 |  Udinese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | -3 | 50 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 | 49 |
| 12 |  Torino | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -19 | 45 |
| 13 |  Parma | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 | 45 |
| 14 |  Cagliari | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 | 43 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 | 41 |
| 17 |  Lecce | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 |  Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -45 | 18 |
Genoa vs AC Milan: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Genoa vs AC Milan?
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Genoa are favourites. Our model gives Genoa a 38% chance of winning, AC Milan 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs AC Milan?
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We rate both teams to score at 37%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Genoa vs AC Milan kick off?
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Genoa vs AC Milan kicks off at 10:00 UTC on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa.
