Copa Libertadores· Group Stage - 2· Allianz Parque
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal2-1
FT
Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 16 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Palmeiras +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| 1XPalmeiras or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Sporting Cristal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| X2Sporting Cristal or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Palmeiras to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.55 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Palmeiras -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.11 | - |
| 2Sporting Cristal to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sporting Cristal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.06 | - |
Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal preview & analysis
Match preview
Palmeiras host Sporting Cristal in the Copa Libertadores (Group Stage - 2) at Allianz Parque on Thursday, 16 April 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Palmeiras have won 2, Sporting Cristal have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 5.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Palmeiras narrow favourites: Palmeiras 44%, draw 38%, Sporting Cristal 18%. We expect around 2.1 goals (1.3 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Copa Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Junior | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal?
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Palmeiras are favourites. Our model gives Palmeiras a 44% chance of winning, Sporting Cristal 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal?
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We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal kick off?
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Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Thursday, 16 April 2026 at Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo.
