Europa League· Quarter-finals· Estadio Abanca Balaídos
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg1-3
FT
Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 16 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5SC Freiburg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Celta Vigo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2SC Freiburg or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XCelta Vigo or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 2SC Freiburg to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Celta Vigo to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5SC Freiburg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.53 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Celta Vigo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.05 | - |
Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg preview & analysis
Match preview
Celta Vigo host SC Freiburg in the Europa League (Quarter-finals) at Estadio Abanca Balaídos on Thursday, 16 April 2026, with kick-off at 16:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Celta Vigo have won 0, SC Freiburg have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes SC Freiburg narrow favourites: Celta Vigo 23%, draw 38%, SC Freiburg 39%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 8 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 9 |  Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 14 |  Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 17 |  PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg?
+
SC Freiburg are favourites. Our model gives Celta Vigo a 23% chance of winning, SC Freiburg 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg kick off?
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Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg kicks off at 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 16 April 2026 at Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo.
