Europa League· Quarter-finals· Villa Park
Aston Villa
Bologna4-0
FT
Aston Villa vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 16 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Aston Villa vs Bologna tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAston Villa or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bologna +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Bologna or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Aston Villa to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Bologna to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bologna -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
Aston Villa vs Bologna preview & analysis
Match preview
Aston Villa host Bologna in the Europa League (Quarter-finals) at Villa Park on Thursday, 16 April 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Aston Villa have won 3, Bologna have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Aston Villa narrow favourites: Aston Villa 44%, draw 38%, Bologna 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 8 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 9 |  Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 12 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 15 |
Aston Villa vs Bologna: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Aston Villa vs Bologna?
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Aston Villa are favourites. Our model gives Aston Villa a 44% chance of winning, Bologna 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Bologna?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Aston Villa vs Bologna kick off?
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Aston Villa vs Bologna kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 16 April 2026 at Villa Park, Birmingham.
