Brasileirão· Regular Season - 29· Nubank Parque
Palmeiras
Bahia1-0
FT
Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 9 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Palmeiras vs Bahia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Palmeiras +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 96% | 1.04 | 1.01 |
| 1XPalmeiras or Draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.16 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.51 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | 1.59 |
| 1Palmeiras to win | 59% | 1.71 | 1.58 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.76 | 1.67 |
| AH2 +1.5Bahia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 53% | 1.87 | 1.58 |
| AH1 -1.5Palmeiras -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 47% | 2.14 | 2.45 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.31 | 2.18 |
| X2Bahia or Draw | 41% | 2.42 | 2.41 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | 2.42 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | 2.26 |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.94 | 4.43 |
| 2Bahia to win | 16% | 6.25 | 5.60 |
| AH2 -1.5Bahia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 4% | 28.35 | 9.80 |
Palmeiras vs Bahia odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.43 | 5.42 | 1.59 | 2.42 | 1.61 | 2.18 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 4.40 | 5.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.33 | 6.00 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.30 | 5.25 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.61 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.75 | 1.56 | 2.22 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55 | 4.53 | 5.90 | 1.61 | 2.40 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.47 | 3.77 | 4.84 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.40 | 5.90 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
Palmeiras vs Bahia preview & analysis
Match preview
Palmeiras host Bahia in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 29) at Nubank Parque on Friday, 9 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Palmeiras arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Gremio 0-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 63 points from 30 games. Bahia arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Atletico Paranaense 1-2 away. They're 5th in the table with 49 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Palmeiras have won 4, Bahia have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Palmeiras favourites: Palmeiras 59%, draw 25%, Bahia 16%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.3 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Palmeiras- 20 SeptAGremio0-0
- 16 SeptALDU de Quito2-3
- 12 SeptHSao Paulo2-0
Bahia- 20 SeptAAtletico Paranaense1-2
- 15 SeptHRemo2-1
- 5 SeptARB Bragantino3-2
- 30 AugHInternacional3-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Palmeiras vs Bahia: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Palmeiras vs Bahia?
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Palmeiras are favourites. Our model gives Palmeiras a 59% chance of winning, Bahia 16%, and the draw 25%.
Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Bahia?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Palmeiras vs Bahia kick off?
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Palmeiras vs Bahia kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Friday, 9 October 2026 at Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo.
