Serie B· Regular Season - 9· Stadio Euganeo
Padova
Sudtirol27 Oct
Padova vs Sudtirol Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Padova vs Sudtirol tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sudtirol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Padova +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Sudtirol or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XPadova or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 2Sudtirol to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Padova to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sudtirol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.53 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Padova -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.05 | - |
Padova vs Sudtirol preview & analysis
Match preview
Padova host Sudtirol in the Serie B (Regular Season - 9) at Stadio Euganeo on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Padova are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Carrarese 0-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 7 points from 6 games. Sudtirol arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Ascoli 0-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 12 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Padova have won 1, Sudtirol have won 1 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sudtirol narrow favourites: Padova 23%, draw 38%, Sudtirol 39%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Padova 0-1 Sudtirol.
Recent form
Padova- 11 OctHCarrarese0-2
- 19 SeptAPalermo1-2
- 12 SeptHAscoli1-0
- 6 SeptACremonese1-3
- 29 AugHHellas Verona1-1
Sudtirol- 10 OctHAscoli0-0
- 2 OctHWacker Innsbruck2-3
- 20 SeptAArezzo4-1
- 15 SeptAGenoa0-1
- 12 SeptHModena1-1
Head to head
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Padova vs Sudtirol: FAQ
What is the Padova vs Sudtirol prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Padova 0-1 Sudtirol.
Who is the favourite to win Padova vs Sudtirol?
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Sudtirol are favourites. Our model gives Padova a 23% chance of winning, Sudtirol 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Padova vs Sudtirol?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Padova vs Sudtirol kick off?
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Padova vs Sudtirol kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at Stadio Euganeo, Padova.
