Serie A· Regular Season - 9· Stadio Olimpico
AS Roma
Cagliari27 Oct
AS Roma vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
1.3 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AS Roma vs Cagliari tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AS Roma +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| 1XAS Roma or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Cagliari +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| X2Cagliari or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1AS Roma to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.55 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AS Roma -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.11 | - |
| 2Cagliari to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cagliari -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.06 | - |
AS Roma vs Cagliari preview & analysis
Match preview
AS Roma host Cagliari in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) at Stadio Olimpico on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AS Roma arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Real Madrid 3-4 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 14 points from 6 games. Cagliari arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Juventus 1-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 13 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, AS Roma have won 4, Cagliari have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AS Roma narrow favourites: AS Roma 44%, draw 38%, Cagliari 18%. We expect around 2.1 goals (1.3 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is AS Roma 1-0 Cagliari.
Recent form
AS Roma- 14 OctHReal Madrid3-4
- 11 OctAComo0-0
- 19 SeptHInter2-2
- 14 SeptATorino2-0
- 10 SeptAFenerbahçe1-1
Cagliari- 11 OctHJuventus1-1
- 19 SeptAUdinese1-0
- 12 SeptAAtalanta2-1
- 7 SeptHLecce1-0
- 3 SeptHHellas Verona1-2
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
AS Roma vs Cagliari: FAQ
What is the AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is AS Roma 1-0 Cagliari.
Who is the favourite to win AS Roma vs Cagliari?
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AS Roma are favourites. Our model gives AS Roma a 44% chance of winning, Cagliari 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Cagliari?
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We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does AS Roma vs Cagliari kick off?
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AS Roma vs Cagliari kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.