Serie B· Regular Season - 9· Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Ascoli
Sampdoria27 Oct
Ascoli vs Sampdoria Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.6 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Ascoli vs Sampdoria tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Ascoli +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAscoli or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Sampdoria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| X2Sampdoria or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Ascoli to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Ascoli -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 2Sampdoria to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sampdoria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.24 | - |
Ascoli vs Sampdoria preview & analysis
Match preview
Ascoli host Sampdoria in the Serie B (Regular Season - 9) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Ascoli arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Sudtirol 0-0 away. They're 5th in the table with 11 points from 6 games. Sampdoria are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Avellino 1-4 away. They're 18th in the table with 4 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Ascoli have won 0, Sampdoria have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ascoli narrow favourites: Ascoli 44%, draw 38%, Sampdoria 18%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.6 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Ascoli 1-0 Sampdoria.
Recent form
Ascoli- 10 OctASudtirol0-0
- 19 SeptHAvellino3-1
- 12 SeptAPadova0-1
- 5 SeptHBenevento1-0
- 29 AugHCarrarese1-1
Sampdoria- 9 OctAAvellino1-4
- 19 SeptHCatanzaro2-1
- 13 SeptAMantova0-2
- 7 SeptAPalermo1-3
- 29 AugHJuve Stabia1-2
Head to head
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: FAQ
What is the Ascoli vs Sampdoria prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Ascoli 1-0 Sampdoria.
Who is the favourite to win Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
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Ascoli are favourites. Our model gives Ascoli a 44% chance of winning, Sampdoria 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Ascoli vs Sampdoria kick off?
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Ascoli vs Sampdoria kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno.
