MLS· Regular Season - 31· Exploria Stadium
Orlando City SC
New York City FC25 Oct
Orlando City SC vs New York City FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
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More Orlando City SC vs New York City FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5New York City FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2New York City FC or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Orlando City SC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XOrlando City SC or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2New York City FC to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5New York City FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Orlando City SC to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Orlando City SC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Orlando City SC vs New York City FC preview & analysis
Match preview
Orlando City SC host New York City FC in the MLS (Regular Season - 31) at Exploria Stadium on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Orlando City SC are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Most recently they drew with Toronto FC 3-3 away. They're 7th in the table with 38 points from 29 games. New York City FC are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Inter Miami 0-2 away. They're 10th in the table with 33 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Orlando City SC have won 0, New York City FC have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes New York City FC narrow favourites: Orlando City SC 23%, draw 38%, New York City FC 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Orlando City SC 1-2 New York City FC.
Recent form
Orlando City SC- 15 OctAToronto FC3-3
- 11 OctHColumbus Crew3-2
- 27 SeptAPhiladelphia Union2-4
- 20 SeptANew England Revolution2-4
- 17 SeptAColumbus Crew1-2
New York City FC- 15 OctAInter Miami0-2
- 10 OctAChicago Fire1-2
- 27 SeptAAtlanta United FC2-2
- 19 SeptHNew York Red Bulls0-1
- 13 SeptAReal Salt Lake2-0
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | +41 | 66 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +20 | 52 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | +7 | 49 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 38 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 |  DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 24 |
Orlando City SC vs New York City FC: FAQ
What is the Orlando City SC vs New York City FC prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 1-2 New York City FC.
Who is the favourite to win Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?
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New York City FC are favourites. Our model gives Orlando City SC a 23% chance of winning, New York City FC 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Orlando City SC vs New York City FC kick off?
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Orlando City SC vs New York City FC kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Exploria Stadium, Orlando.
