MLS· Regular Season - 31· Toyota Stadium
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes25 Oct
FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Dallas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | - |
| AH2 +1.5San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| 1XFC Dallas or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2San Jose Earthquakes or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.87 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.15 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 1FC Dallas to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2San Jose Earthquakes to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Dallas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 6.04 | - |
| AH2 -1.5San Jose Earthquakes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.63 | - |
FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Dallas host San Jose Earthquakes in the MLS (Regular Season - 31) at Toyota Stadium on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Dallas arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Seattle Sounders 1-0 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 50 points from 29 games. San Jose Earthquakes arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Real Salt Lake 1-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 47 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Dallas have won 2, San Jose Earthquakes have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 4.2 goals, and both teams scored in 6 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Dallas narrow favourites: FC Dallas 37%, draw 31%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Dallas 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes.
Recent form
FC Dallas- 15 OctHSeattle Sounders1-0
- 11 OctACharlotte2-3
- 27 SeptHLos Angeles FC1-0
- 20 SeptHAustin0-0
- 13 SeptHPortland Timbers2-1
San Jose Earthquakes- 15 OctAReal Salt Lake1-1
- 11 OctAColorado Rapids1-1
- 27 SeptHPortland Timbers3-1
- 20 SeptHLos Angeles FC2-2
- 13 SeptHHouston Dynamo1-0
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +31 | 52 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +8 | 50 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 46 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 45 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 |  Austin | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 22 |
FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes: FAQ
What is the FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is FC Dallas 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes.
Who is the favourite to win FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
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FC Dallas are favourites. Our model gives FC Dallas a 37% chance of winning, San Jose Earthquakes 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
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FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Toyota Stadium, Frisco.
