MLS· Regular Season - 31· Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire25 Oct
Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.6
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Fan vote
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Chicago Fire +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Chicago Fire or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Atlanta United FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XAtlanta United FC or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| 2Chicago Fire to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Chicago Fire -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.94 | - |
| 1Atlanta United FC to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atlanta United FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.88 | - |
Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire preview & analysis
Match preview
Atlanta United FC host Chicago Fire in the MLS (Regular Season - 31) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atlanta United FC arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat CF Montreal 3-0 away. They're 14th in the table with 30 points from 29 games. Chicago Fire arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Philadelphia Union 1-3 at home. They're 4th in the table with 48 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atlanta United FC have won 1, Chicago Fire have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Chicago Fire narrow favourites: Atlanta United FC 23%, draw 38%, Chicago Fire 39%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.1 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Atlanta United FC 0-1 Chicago Fire.
Recent form
Atlanta United FC- 15 OctACF Montreal3-0
- 11 OctHFC Cincinnati1-3
- 27 SeptHNew York City FC2-2
- 20 SeptAPortland Timbers1-0
- 13 SeptADC United0-0
Chicago Fire- 15 OctHPhiladelphia Union1-3
- 10 OctHNew York City FC2-1
- 7 OctHVancouver Whitecaps3-1
- 27 SeptACharlotte1-0
- 20 SeptANashville SC0-3
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | +41 | 66 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +20 | 52 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | +7 | 49 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 38 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 |  DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 24 |
Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: FAQ
What is the Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 0-1 Chicago Fire.
Who is the favourite to win Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?
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Chicago Fire are favourites. Our model gives Atlanta United FC a 23% chance of winning, Chicago Fire 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire kick off?
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Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.
