Greek Super League· Regular Season - 13· Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC5 Dec
Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
1.3 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
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More Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Olympiakos Piraeus +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| 1XOlympiakos Piraeus or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5AEK Athens FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| X2AEK Athens FC or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Olympiakos Piraeus to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.55 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Olympiakos Piraeus -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.11 | - |
| 2AEK Athens FC to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AEK Athens FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.06 | - |
Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC preview & analysis
Match preview
Olympiakos Piraeus host AEK Athens FC in the Greek Super League (Regular Season - 13) at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Olympiakos Piraeus arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Marseille 1-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 13 points from 6 games. AEK Athens FC arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Shakhtar Donetsk 1-3 away. They're 2nd in the table with 14 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Olympiakos Piraeus have won 3, AEK Athens FC have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Olympiakos Piraeus narrow favourites: Olympiakos Piraeus 44%, draw 38%, AEK Athens FC 18%. We expect around 2.1 goals (1.3 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 AEK Athens FC.
Recent form
Olympiakos Piraeus- 15 OctAMarseille1-0
- 11 OctHPanathinaikos1-0
- 20 SeptALevadiakos1-0
- 16 SeptHJagiellonia2-1
- 12 SeptHOFI0-1
AEK Athens FC- 14 OctAShakhtar Donetsk1-3
- 10 OctHOFI3-0
- 20 SeptAVolos NFC2-1
- 17 SeptHPanserraikos8-1
- 13 SeptAAsteras Tripolis1-1
Head to head
Greek Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 |  PAOK | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 6 |  OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 |  Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC: FAQ
What is the Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 AEK Athens FC.
Who is the favourite to win Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC?
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Olympiakos Piraeus are favourites. Our model gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 44% chance of winning, AEK Athens FC 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC kick off?
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Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus.
