Championship· Regular Season - 10· Carrow Road
Norwich
Southampton0-1
FT
Norwich vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.6
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Norwich vs Southampton tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Southampton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| AH1 +1.5Norwich +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.26 | 1.12 |
| X2Southampton or Draw | 66% | 1.52 | 1.55 |
| 1XNorwich or Draw | 63% | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.46 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.58 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | 2.29 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | 2.38 |
| 2Southampton to win | 37% | 2.69 | 2.65 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.78 | 2.63 |
| 1Norwich to win | 34% | 2.93 | 2.50 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.48 | 3.75 |
| AH2 -1.5Southampton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.90 | 4.75 |
| AH1 -1.5Norwich -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.80 | 4.50 |
Norwich vs Southampton odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.62 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.75 | 2.53 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.43 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.65 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Marathonbet | 2.42 | 3.75 | 2.53 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.43 | 2.58 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.47 | 2.63 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.60 | 1.52 | 2.31 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54 | 3.65 | 2.73 | 1.60 | 2.44 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.32 | 3.49 | 2.56 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.65 | 2.70 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.47 | 2.55 |
Norwich vs Southampton preview & analysis
Match preview
Norwich host Southampton in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) at Carrow Road on Wednesday, 14 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Norwich are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Most recently they lost to Swansea 1-2 away. They're 19th in the table with 9 points from 9 games. Southampton arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Portsmouth 1-0 at home. They're 13th in the table with 13 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Norwich have won 1, Southampton have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Southampton narrow favourites: Norwich 34%, draw 29%, Southampton 37%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 61% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.47, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Norwich 1-2 Southampton.
Recent form
Norwich- 10 OctASwansea1-2
- 20 SeptHBolton3-4
- 17 SeptAManchester City0-5
- 12 SeptAMiddlesbrough3-4
- 9 SeptHBirmingham2-1
Southampton- 11 OctHPortsmouth1-0
- 19 SeptAWrexham1-2
- 12 SeptHBristol City4-1
- 8 SeptHSwansea3-1
- 5 SeptALincoln1-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
Norwich vs Southampton: FAQ
What is the Norwich vs Southampton prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.47. Our predicted score is Norwich 1-2 Southampton.
Who is the favourite to win Norwich vs Southampton?
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Southampton are favourites. Our model gives Norwich a 34% chance of winning, Southampton 37%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Norwich vs Southampton?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Norwich vs Southampton kick off?
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Norwich vs Southampton kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at Carrow Road, Norwich.
