Champions League· League Stage - 2· Villa Park
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe6-0
FT
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
2.2 - 0.9
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Fan vote
Match probabilities
More Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.02 |
| 1XAston Villa or Draw | 82% | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | 1.55 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| AH2 +1.5Fenerbahçe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 58% | 1.73 | 1.51 |
| 1Aston Villa to win | 55% | 1.82 | 1.74 |
| X2Fenerbahçe or Draw | 45% | 2.22 | 2.22 |
| AH1 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 42% | 2.37 | 2.84 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.41 | 2.30 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.47 | 2.39 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.59 | 2.49 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.73 | 4.10 |
| 2Fenerbahçe to win | 18% | 5.46 | 5.18 |
| AH2 -1.5Fenerbahçe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.83 | 10.00 |
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 4.04 | 5.18 | 1.67 | 2.39 | 1.59 | 2.24 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.90 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.98 | 5.10 | 1.58 | 2.26 | 1.59 | 2.21 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.10 | 5.00 | 1.60 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.56 | 2.23 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 4.17 | 5.00 | 1.61 | 2.42 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.68 | 3.86 | 4.13 | 1.52 | 2.51 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.20 | 4.85 | 1.62 | 2.37 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe preview & analysis
Match preview
Aston Villa host Fenerbahçe in the Champions League (League Stage - 2) at Villa Park on Wednesday, 14 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Aston Villa arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Brentford 2-2 at home. They're 11th in the table with 3 points from 1 game. Fenerbahçe arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Rizespor 3-0 away. They're 24th in the table with 1 point from 1 game.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Aston Villa have won 1, Fenerbahçe have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Aston Villa favourites: Aston Villa 55%, draw 27%, Fenerbahçe 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.2 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.67, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Aston Villa 2-0 Fenerbahçe.
Recent form
Aston Villa- 10 OctHBrentford2-2
- 2 OctASevilla3-1
- 19 SeptATottenham3-2
- 16 SeptACoventry3-1
- 12 SeptHNottingham Forest1-2
Fenerbahçe- 10 OctARizespor3-0
- 3 OctATuran2-0
- 20 SeptHEyüpspor8-0
- 14 SeptAGaziantep FK0-0
- 10 SeptHAS Roma1-1
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 4 |  Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 9 |  Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 22 |  AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 24 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 25 |  PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 |  Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe: FAQ
What is the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.67. Our predicted score is Aston Villa 2-0 Fenerbahçe.
Who is the favourite to win Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?
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Aston Villa are favourites. Our model gives Aston Villa a 55% chance of winning, Fenerbahçe 18%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe kick off?
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Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at Villa Park, Birmingham.
