League Two· Regular Season - 16· Sixfields Stadium
Northampton
Rochdale21 Nov
Northampton vs Rochdale Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 21 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.28
Expected goals
0.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Northampton vs Rochdale tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Rochdale +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Northampton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | - |
| X2Rochdale or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XNorthampton or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Rochdale to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 29% | 3.41 | - |
| 1Northampton to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Rochdale -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.54 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 12.69 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Northampton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.21 | - |
Northampton vs Rochdale preview & analysis
Match preview
Northampton host Rochdale in the League Two (Regular Season - 16) at Sixfields Stadium on Saturday, 21 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Northampton are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with York 1-1 away. They're 23rd in the table with 7 points from 8 games. Rochdale arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Most recently they drew with Tranmere 1-1 away. They're 10th in the table with 14 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Northampton have won 1, Rochdale have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Rochdale narrow favourites: Northampton 23%, draw 38%, Rochdale 39%. We expect around 1.6 goals (0.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 22% for over 2.5 and 29% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 78% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Northampton 0-1 Rochdale.
Recent form
Northampton- 10 OctAYork1-1
- 6 OctACambridge United1-2
- 19 SeptHRotherham0-1
- 12 SeptAShrewsbury0-2
Rochdale- 10 OctATranmere1-1
- 6 OctAHuddersfield0-5
- 3 OctHSwindon Town1-0
- 26 SeptAFleetwood Town2-1
- 22 SeptHLiverpool U213-3
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 |  Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Northampton vs Rochdale: FAQ
What is the Northampton vs Rochdale prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Northampton 0-1 Rochdale.
Who is the favourite to win Northampton vs Rochdale?
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Rochdale are favourites. Our model gives Northampton a 23% chance of winning, Rochdale 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Northampton vs Rochdale?
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We rate both teams to score at 29%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Northampton vs Rochdale kick off?
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Northampton vs Rochdale kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at Sixfields Stadium, Northampton.
