League Two· Regular Season - 16· Rodney Parade
Newport County
Swindon Town21 Nov
Newport County vs Swindon Town Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 21 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.28
Expected goals
1.0 - 0.6
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Newport County vs Swindon Town tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Newport County +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Swindon Town +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XNewport County or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| X2Swindon Town or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Newport County to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 28% | 3.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 | - |
| 2Swindon Town to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Newport County -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 12.69 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Swindon Town -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.29 | - |
Newport County vs Swindon Town preview & analysis
Match preview
Newport County host Swindon Town in the League Two (Regular Season - 16) at Rodney Parade on Saturday, 21 November 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Newport County arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Colchester 1-0 at home. They're 12th in the table with 13 points from 10 games. Swindon Town are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Crewe 0-1 at home. They're 17th in the table with 11 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Newport County have won 2, Swindon Town have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Newport County narrow favourites: Newport County 44%, draw 38%, Swindon Town 18%. We expect around 1.6 goals (1.0 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 22% for over 2.5 and 28% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 78% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Newport County 1-0 Swindon Town.
Recent form
Newport County- 10 OctHColchester1-0
- 6 OctHPlymouth2-2
- 3 OctAGillingham0-0
- 26 SeptHGrimsby2-1
- 22 SeptASwindon Town2-0
Swindon Town- 10 OctHCrewe0-1
- 3 OctARochdale0-1
- 26 SeptHAccrington ST1-1
- 22 SeptHNewport County0-2
- 19 SeptASalford City0-1
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 |  Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
Newport County vs Swindon Town: FAQ
What is the Newport County vs Swindon Town prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Newport County 1-0 Swindon Town.
Who is the favourite to win Newport County vs Swindon Town?
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Newport County are favourites. Our model gives Newport County a 44% chance of winning, Swindon Town 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Newport County vs Swindon Town?
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We rate both teams to score at 28%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Newport County vs Swindon Town kick off?
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Newport County vs Swindon Town kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at Rodney Parade, Newport.
