MLS· Regular Season - 30· Shell Energy Stadium
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas18 Oct
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.82
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
More Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Houston Dynamo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.16 | - |
| AH2 +1.5FC Dallas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| 1XHouston Dynamo or Draw | 68% | 1.46 | 1.35 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | - |
| X2FC Dallas or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | 1.62 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | 2.20 |
| 1Houston Dynamo to win | 39% | 2.54 | 2.14 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.97 | - |
| 2FC Dallas to win | 32% | 3.16 | 3.35 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.44 | 3.65 |
| AH1 -1.5Houston Dynamo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.63 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FC Dallas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 7.09 | - |
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.65 | 3.35 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.56 | 3.10 | 1.72 | 2.05 | 1.60 | 2.16 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 2.15 | - | - |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.57 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.25 | 1.75 | 2.12 | 1.60 | 2.27 |
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas preview & analysis
Match preview
Houston Dynamo host FC Dallas in the MLS (Regular Season - 30) at Shell Energy Stadium on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Houston Dynamo arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Most recently they drew with San Diego 3-3 away. They're 5th in the table with 46 points from 29 games. FC Dallas arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Seattle Sounders 1-0 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 50 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Houston Dynamo have won 2, FC Dallas have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Houston Dynamo narrow favourites: Houston Dynamo 39%, draw 29%, FC Dallas 32%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.6 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Houston Dynamo 2-1 FC Dallas.
Recent form
Houston Dynamo- 15 OctASan Diego3-3
- 11 OctAMinnesota United FC2-2
- 27 SeptHSporting Kansas City0-2
- 20 SeptHFC Cincinnati2-2
- 13 SeptASan Jose Earthquakes0-1
FC Dallas- 15 OctHSeattle Sounders1-0
- 11 OctACharlotte2-3
- 27 SeptHLos Angeles FC1-0
- 20 SeptHAustin0-0
- 13 SeptHPortland Timbers2-1
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +31 | 52 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +8 | 50 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 47 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 46 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 45 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 |  Austin | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 22 |
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas: FAQ
What is the Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 2-1 FC Dallas.
Who is the favourite to win Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
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Houston Dynamo are favourites. Our model gives Houston Dynamo a 39% chance of winning, FC Dallas 32%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas kick off?
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Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Shell Energy Stadium, Houston.
