MLS· Regular Season - 32· Yankee Stadium
New York City FC
Atlanta United FC28 Oct
New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atlanta United FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Atlanta United FC or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5New York City FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XNew York City FC or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Atlanta United FC to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Atlanta United FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1New York City FC to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5New York City FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC preview & analysis
Match preview
New York City FC host Atlanta United FC in the MLS (Regular Season - 32) at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
New York City FC are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Inter Miami 0-2 away. They're 10th in the table with 33 points from 29 games. Atlanta United FC arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat CF Montreal 3-0 away. They're 14th in the table with 30 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, New York City FC have won 1, Atlanta United FC have won 1 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 4.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atlanta United FC narrow favourites: New York City FC 23%, draw 38%, Atlanta United FC 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is New York City FC 0-1 Atlanta United FC.
Recent form
New York City FC- 15 OctAInter Miami0-2
- 10 OctAChicago Fire1-2
- 27 SeptAAtlanta United FC2-2
- 19 SeptHNew York Red Bulls0-1
- 13 SeptAReal Salt Lake2-0
Atlanta United FC- 15 OctACF Montreal3-0
- 11 OctHFC Cincinnati1-3
- 27 SeptHNew York City FC2-2
- 20 SeptAPortland Timbers1-0
- 13 SeptADC United0-0
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | +41 | 66 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +20 | 52 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | +7 | 49 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 38 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 |  DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 24 |
New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC: FAQ
What is the New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is New York City FC 0-1 Atlanta United FC.
Who is the favourite to win New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?
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Atlanta United FC are favourites. Our model gives New York City FC a 23% chance of winning, Atlanta United FC 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC kick off?
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New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Yankee Stadium, New York.
