Liga MX· Apertura - 12· Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Atlas17 Oct
Necaxa vs Atlas Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Atlas or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.49
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
More Necaxa vs Atlas tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atlas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| AH1 +1.5Necaxa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.24 | 1.10 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | 1.35 |
| 1XNecaxa or Draw | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.72 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | 2.03 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | 2.26 |
| 2Atlas to win | 37% | 2.71 | 2.65 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 2.99 | 2.74 |
| 1Necaxa to win | 33% | 3.02 | 2.60 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.34 | 3.50 |
| AH2 -1.5Atlas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.14 | 5.20 |
| AH1 -1.5Necaxa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.37 | 4.80 |
Necaxa vs Atlas odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.50 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.43 | 3.48 | 2.58 | 1.72 | 2.03 | 1.57 | 2.26 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.65 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.43 | 3.48 | 2.58 | 1.72 | 2.03 | 1.57 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.63 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 1.71 | 1.98 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54 | 3.53 | 2.68 | 1.76 | 2.09 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.40 | 3.08 | 2.44 | 1.74 | 2.08 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.45 | 2.67 | 1.75 | 2.12 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
Necaxa vs Atlas preview & analysis
Match preview
Necaxa host Atlas in the Liga MX (Apertura - 12) at Estadio Victoria on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Necaxa are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Most recently they drew with CF Pachuca 3-3 away. They're 17th in the table with 9 points from 11 games. Atlas arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Most recently they drew with Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 at home. They're 6th in the table with 18 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Necaxa have won 2, Atlas have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atlas narrow favourites: Necaxa 33%, draw 30%, Atlas 37%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 54% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Atlas should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Atlas or Draw at 1.49, which our model rates at a 67% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-2 Atlas.
Recent form
Necaxa- 12 OctACF Pachuca3-3
- 28 SeptHClub America2-4
- 20 SeptAAtletico San Luis1-3
- 12 SeptHPuebla0-1
- 6 SeptATigres UANL1-1
Atlas- 11 OctHGuadalajara Chivas1-1
- 26 SeptAClub Tijuana3-2
- 20 SeptHU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
- 13 SeptAToluca2-5
- 6 SeptHAtlante FC1-1
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Necaxa vs Atlas: FAQ
What is the Necaxa vs Atlas prediction?
+
Our tip is Atlas or Draw at odds of 1.49. Our predicted score is Necaxa 1-2 Atlas.
Who is the favourite to win Necaxa vs Atlas?
+
Atlas are favourites. Our model gives Necaxa a 33% chance of winning, Atlas 37%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Necaxa vs Atlas?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Necaxa vs Atlas kick off?
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Necaxa vs Atlas kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.
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