Serie A· Regular Season - 14· Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli
Lecce6 Dec
Napoli vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 6 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
2.1 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Napoli vs Lecce tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Napoli +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XNapoli or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Lecce +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Lecce or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Napoli to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Napoli -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| 2Lecce to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lecce -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.95 | - |
Napoli vs Lecce preview & analysis
Match preview
Napoli host Lecce in the Serie A (Regular Season - 14) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Sunday, 6 December 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Napoli arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Villarreal 1-3 away. They're 8th in the table with 10 points from 6 games. Lecce are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Bologna 1-2 at home. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Napoli have won 5, Lecce have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Napoli favourites: Napoli 47%, draw 41%, Lecce 12%. We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Napoli 2-0 Lecce.
Recent form
Napoli- 13 OctAVillarreal1-3
- 10 OctHFrosinone3-0
- 20 SeptAFiorentina1-1
- 13 SeptHBologna1-0
- 9 SeptHArsenal0-1
Lecce- 11 OctHBologna1-2
- 20 SeptAAC Milan0-3
- 13 SeptHMonza3-2
- 7 SeptACagliari0-1
- 31 AugHAS Roma0-4
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Napoli vs Lecce: FAQ
What is the Napoli vs Lecce prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Napoli 2-0 Lecce.
Who is the favourite to win Napoli vs Lecce?
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Napoli are favourites. Our model gives Napoli a 47% chance of winning, Lecce 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Napoli vs Lecce?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Napoli vs Lecce kick off?
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Napoli vs Lecce kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Sunday, 6 December 2026 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples.
