Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 17· Motor Lublin Arena
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan5 Dec
Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.3 - 2.0
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Lech Poznan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Lech Poznan or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Motor Lublin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XMotor Lublin or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 2Lech Poznan to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lech Poznan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 1Motor Lublin to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Motor Lublin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.80 | - |
Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan preview & analysis
Match preview
Motor Lublin host Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 17) at Motor Lublin Arena on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Motor Lublin arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Radomiak Radom 3-2 away. They're 14th in the table with 9 points from 10 games. Lech Poznan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 0-4 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 22 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Motor Lublin have won 1, Lech Poznan have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lech Poznan narrow favourites: Motor Lublin 23%, draw 38%, Lech Poznan 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Motor Lublin 1-2 Lech Poznan.
Recent form
Motor Lublin- 12 OctARadomiak Radom3-2
- 19 SeptHGornik Zabrze0-0
- 11 SeptARaków Częstochowa1-2
- 5 SeptHLegia Warszawa2-3
- 1 SeptHLegia Warszawa3-0
Lech Poznan- 15 OctHBayer Leverkusen0-4
- 10 OctASlask Wroclaw4-1
- 3 OctHEnergie Cottbus2-2
- 20 SeptHRadomiak Radom5-1
- 17 SeptACrystal Palace0-4
Head to head
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 |  Legia Warszawa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Wisla Krakow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Cracovia Krakow | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 |  Widzew Łódź | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -11 | 6 |
Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan: FAQ
What is the Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1-2 Lech Poznan.
Who is the favourite to win Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan?
+
Lech Poznan are favourites. Our model gives Motor Lublin a 23% chance of winning, Lech Poznan 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan?
+
We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan kick off?
+
Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin.
