Liga MX· Apertura - 14· Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas25 Oct
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.6
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Guadalajara Chivas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Guadalajara Chivas or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Monterrey +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XMonterrey or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| 2Guadalajara Chivas to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Guadalajara Chivas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.94 | - |
| 1Monterrey to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Monterrey -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.88 | - |
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas preview & analysis
Match preview
Monterrey host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX (Apertura - 14) at Estadio BBVA on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Monterrey arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Club America 1-1 away. They're 10th in the table with 14 points from 10 games. Guadalajara Chivas arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Atlas 1-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 19 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Monterrey have won 2, Guadalajara Chivas have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Guadalajara Chivas narrow favourites: Monterrey 23%, draw 38%, Guadalajara Chivas 39%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.1 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Monterrey 0-1 Guadalajara Chivas.
Recent form
Monterrey- 11 OctAClub America1-1
- 4 OctHToluca2-1
- 26 SeptAAtlante FC2-4
- 20 SeptHCruz Azul1-0
- 13 SeptHTigres UANL0-0
Guadalajara Chivas- 11 OctAAtlas1-1
- 5 OctHClub America2-0
- 27 SeptHClub Queretaro0-2
- 20 SeptAClub America2-2
- 14 SeptHU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas: FAQ
What is the Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Monterrey 0-1 Guadalajara Chivas.
Who is the favourite to win Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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Guadalajara Chivas are favourites. Our model gives Monterrey a 23% chance of winning, Guadalajara Chivas 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas kick off?
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Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas kicks off at 00:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey.
