Liga MX· Apertura - 14· Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Puebla25 Oct
Atlas vs Puebla Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.1
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atlas vs Puebla tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atlas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Puebla +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.24 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XAtlas or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Puebla or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 1Atlas to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Puebla to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atlas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.21 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Puebla -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.79 | - |
Atlas vs Puebla preview & analysis
Match preview
Atlas host Puebla in the Liga MX (Apertura - 14) at Estadio Jalisco on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atlas arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Most recently they drew with Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 at home. They're 6th in the table with 18 points from 11 games. Puebla arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Leon 1-1 at home. They're 9th in the table with 15 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atlas have won 4, Puebla have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atlas narrow favourites: Atlas 38%, draw 32%, Puebla 30%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Atlas 1-0 Puebla.
Recent form
Atlas- 11 OctHGuadalajara Chivas1-1
- 26 SeptAClub Tijuana3-2
- 20 SeptHU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
- 13 SeptAToluca2-5
- 6 SeptHAtlante FC1-1
Puebla- 10 OctHLeon1-1
- 27 SeptATigres UANL0-1
- 19 SeptHAtlante FC1-1
- 16 SeptHToluca0-1
- 12 SeptANecaxa1-0
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Atlas vs Puebla: FAQ
What is the Atlas vs Puebla prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Atlas 1-0 Puebla.
Who is the favourite to win Atlas vs Puebla?
+
Atlas are favourites. Our model gives Atlas a 38% chance of winning, Puebla 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Atlas vs Puebla?
+
We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Atlas vs Puebla kick off?
+
Atlas vs Puebla kicks off at 23:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
