League One· Regular Season - 15· Stadium MK
Milton Keynes Dons
Burton Albion14 Nov
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 14 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Milton Keynes Dons +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XMilton Keynes Dons or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Burton Albion +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Burton Albion or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Milton Keynes Dons to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Milton Keynes Dons -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Burton Albion to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Burton Albion -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion preview & analysis
Match preview
Milton Keynes Dons host Burton Albion in the League One (Regular Season - 15) at Stadium MK on Saturday, 14 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Milton Keynes Dons arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Reading 1-5 at home. They're 23rd in the table with 6 points from 8 games. Burton Albion arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Doncaster 0-1 away. They're 10th in the table with 12 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Milton Keynes Dons have won 4, Burton Albion have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Milton Keynes Dons narrow favourites: Milton Keynes Dons 44%, draw 38%, Burton Albion 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 Burton Albion.
Recent form
Milton Keynes Dons- 10 OctHReading1-5
- 6 OctHBrentford U217-1
- 22 SeptHCrawley Town4-1
- 17 SeptAAFC Wimbledon0-0
Burton Albion- 10 OctADoncaster0-1
- 6 OctAGrimsby0-0
- 3 OctHHuddersfield1-3
- 26 SeptAPlymouth1-0
- 22 SeptHNottingham Forest U211-1
Head to head
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 |  Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 |  Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 |  Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 4 |
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: FAQ
What is the Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 Burton Albion.
Who is the favourite to win Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
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Milton Keynes Dons are favourites. Our model gives Milton Keynes Dons a 44% chance of winning, Burton Albion 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion kick off?
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Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 14 November 2026 at Stadium MK, Milton Keynes.
