Championship· Regular Season - 13· The Den
Millwall
Derby31 Oct
Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Millwall vs Derby tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Millwall +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XMillwall or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Derby or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.05 | - |
| 1Millwall to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Millwall -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Derby to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.61 | - |
Millwall vs Derby preview & analysis
Match preview
Millwall host Derby in the Championship (Regular Season - 13) at The Den on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Millwall arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Swansea 0-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 14 points from 10 games. Derby are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to QPR 1-4 away. They're 23rd in the table with 6 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Millwall have won 3, Derby have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Millwall narrow favourites: Millwall 44%, draw 38%, Derby 18%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 51% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Millwall 1-0 Derby.
Recent form
Millwall- 13 OctHSwansea0-1
- 10 OctAPreston1-0
- 19 SeptHWest Ham2-2
- 15 SeptAMiddlesbrough2-2
- 12 SeptABlackburn1-3
Derby- 14 OctAQPR1-4
- 10 OctHWrexham1-1
- 19 SeptABurnley1-1
- 12 SeptHBirmingham1-2
- 9 SeptHWest Brom0-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Millwall vs Derby: FAQ
What is the Millwall vs Derby prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Millwall 1-0 Derby.
Who is the favourite to win Millwall vs Derby?
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Millwall are favourites. Our model gives Millwall a 44% chance of winning, Derby 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Millwall vs Derby?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Millwall vs Derby kick off?
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Millwall vs Derby kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at The Den, London.
