Premier League· Regular Season - 9· Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Manchester United31 Oct
Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
2.1 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
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More Chelsea vs Manchester United tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Chelsea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Manchester United +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| 1XChelsea or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Manchester United or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Chelsea to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Manchester United to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 28% | 3.57 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Chelsea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.84 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Manchester United -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.96 | - |
Chelsea vs Manchester United preview & analysis
Match preview
Chelsea host Manchester United in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9) at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Chelsea arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Most recently they beat Bournemouth 5-1 at home. They're 6th in the table with 10 points from 6 games. Manchester United are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Atletico Madrid 0-2 away. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Chelsea have won 2, Manchester United have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Chelsea narrow favourites: Chelsea 38%, draw 32%, Manchester United 30%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 72% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United.
Recent form
Chelsea- 10 OctHBournemouth5-1
- 18 SeptABrentford0-3
- 12 SeptHHull City2-2
- 9 SeptHLeeds6-3
- 6 SeptAArsenal1-2
Manchester United- 13 OctAAtletico Madrid0-2
- 10 OctHTottenham1-1
- 20 SeptAFulham1-1
- 16 SeptHBrighton2-3
- 13 SeptHManchester City0-1
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Chelsea vs Manchester United: FAQ
What is the Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United.
Who is the favourite to win Chelsea vs Manchester United?
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Chelsea are favourites. Our model gives Chelsea a 38% chance of winning, Manchester United 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Manchester United?
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We rate both teams to score at 72%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Chelsea vs Manchester United kick off?
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Chelsea vs Manchester United kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Stamford Bridge, London.
