Championship· Regular Season - 13· Turf Moor
Burnley
Portsmouth31 Oct
Burnley vs Portsmouth Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Burnley vs Portsmouth tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XBurnley or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Portsmouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Portsmouth or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Burnley to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Portsmouth to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Portsmouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
Burnley vs Portsmouth preview & analysis
Match preview
Burnley host Portsmouth in the Championship (Regular Season - 13) at Turf Moor on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Burnley arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Wolves 1-2 at home. They're 21st in the table with 8 points from 11 games. Portsmouth arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Sheffield Utd 3-2 at home. They're 16th in the table with 11 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Burnley have won 2, Portsmouth have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Burnley narrow favourites: Burnley 44%, draw 38%, Portsmouth 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Burnley 1-0 Portsmouth.
Recent form
Burnley- 16 OctHWolves1-2
- 13 OctHCharlton2-2
- 10 OctAWatford4-0
- 19 SeptHDerby1-1
- 12 SeptASwansea1-3
Portsmouth- 14 OctHSheffield Utd3-2
- 11 OctASouthampton0-1
- 19 SeptHBlackburn2-2
- 12 SeptACharlton0-0
- 5 SeptHCardiff2-0
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Burnley vs Portsmouth: FAQ
What is the Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Burnley 1-0 Portsmouth.
Who is the favourite to win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
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Burnley are favourites. Our model gives Burnley a 44% chance of winning, Portsmouth 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Burnley vs Portsmouth?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Burnley vs Portsmouth kick off?
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Burnley vs Portsmouth kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Turf Moor, Burnley.
