Championship· Regular Season - 18· The Den
Millwall
Burnley28 Nov
Millwall vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 28 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Millwall vs Burnley tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Burnley or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Millwall +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XMillwall or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Burnley to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Millwall to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Millwall -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Millwall vs Burnley preview & analysis
Match preview
Millwall host Burnley in the Championship (Regular Season - 18) at The Den on Saturday, 28 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Millwall arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Swansea 0-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 14 points from 10 games. Burnley arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Charlton 2-2 at home. They're 21st in the table with 8 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Millwall have won 1, Burnley have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Burnley narrow favourites: Millwall 23%, draw 38%, Burnley 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 59% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Millwall 1-2 Burnley.
Recent form
Millwall- 13 OctHSwansea0-1
- 10 OctAPreston1-0
- 19 SeptHWest Ham2-2
- 15 SeptAMiddlesbrough2-2
- 12 SeptABlackburn1-3
Burnley- 13 OctHCharlton2-2
- 10 OctAWatford4-0
- 19 SeptHDerby1-1
- 12 SeptASwansea1-3
- 8 SeptAWrexham1-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Millwall vs Burnley: FAQ
What is the Millwall vs Burnley prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Millwall 1-2 Burnley.
Who is the favourite to win Millwall vs Burnley?
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Burnley are favourites. Our model gives Millwall a 23% chance of winning, Burnley 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Millwall vs Burnley?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Millwall vs Burnley kick off?
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Millwall vs Burnley kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 28 November 2026 at The Den, London.
